ISMS 19: 5% March 2023 CPI Could Fall to 4% By Year-End; If Oil Doesn’t Fly

<h2>Remember that CPI is not inflation</h2><ul><li>Mar 2023 US CPI was 5%, down from 6% in Feb and off its June 2022 peak of 9.1%</li><li>Mar 2023, the food component was up 8.5% but has come off its Aug 2022 11.4% peak</li><li>Mar 2023, the energy component was down 6.4, a massive fall from its 41.6% June 2022 peak</li><li>In Mar 2023, all other items were flat MoM at 5.6%, down from Mar 2022 6.5% high</li><li>Without a surge in oil US, we forecast CPI could end 2023 at 4%</li></ul><br/><h3>Two things that could derail YE23 4% …</h3><ul><li>An oil price surge would push end-2023 slightly higher than 4%, but only slightly because it takes a few months for an oil price rise to impact CPI</li><li>A US recession could quickly bring CPI below 4%</li></ul><br/><p>&nbsp;</p><p><a href="https://myworstinvestmentever.com/getpdf/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><strong>Click here to get the PDF with all charts and graphs</strong></a></p><p>&nbsp;</p><p><strong>Andrew’s books</strong></p><ul><li><a href="https://amzn.to/3qrfHjX" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>How to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Market</em></a></li><li><a href="https://amzn.to/2PDApAo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>My Worst Investment Ever</em></a></li><li><a href="https://amzn.to/3v6ip1Y" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid Them</em></a></li><li><a href="https://amzn.to/3emBO8M" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Transform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points</em></a></li></ul><br/><p><strong>Andrew’s online programs</strong></p><ul><li><a href="https://valuationmasterclass.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Valuation Master Class</em></a></li><li><a href="https://astotz.kartra.com/page/become-a-better-investor-community" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>The Become a Better Investor Community</em></a></li><li><a href="https://academy.astotz.com/courses/how-to-start-building-your-wealth-investing-in-the-