EP 254- World Chess Championship Preview Part 2 with Tai Pruce Zimmerman

My guest for Part 2 of the World Chess Championship preview is chess blogger Tai Pruce Zimmerman. Tai is an accountant by training, who created the excellent Chess by the Numbers blog to write about elite chess from a statistical perspective. With the World Championship just days away, I was excited to be joined by Tai to walk us through various scenarios in the upcoming showdown between Magnus Carlsen and Ian Nepomniatchtchi. We tackled questions such as the following:  Based on rating, how likely is Magnus to win? How likely are we to see tiebreaks? Would Magnus be as big a favorite in the tiebreak section? How likely would it be that one player “adopt” another? We tackle all of these questions and more, as Tai  describes how his model is made and tells all of the numbers we need to know for the match. As always, please read on for more details, timestamps, and relevant links!  0:00- Info from the Intro:  Be sure go to MagnusNepo.com to join Aimchess’ Prediction Challenge!  Check out Chess.com’s easy-to-read World Championship schedule breakdown here.  Perpetual Chess Bonus World Championship Pods are planned for: November 29, December 2, December 6, December 9 and  December 13 3:00- We briefly review the format of the World Championship Match, and then Tai dives into what goes into his statistical model, and what it says about the upcoming match.  Mentioned: Episode 249 with Dr. Mark Glickman, Nate Solon’s article about the World Championship  11:00- How would Tai’s model assess a potential rapid playoff?  16:00- What did Tai do to guess the competitors rating strengths other than just use their current FIDE ratings?  Mentioned: Pinnacle Sports World Chess Championships Odds 20:30- If the match goes to blitz tiebreaks, who would be the favorite to win the match?  Mentioned: Matt Jensen’s World Championship Preview of Chess.com  27:00- Perpetual Chess is brought to you in part by Chessable.com. Check out what's new from them here: New Chess Courses Online - For All Levels- Chessable.com Don’t forget to su