China's funk is getting deeper
China's funk is getting deeper

China's funk is getting deeper

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<p>Kia ora, </p><p>Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.</p><p>I'm David Chaston and this is the International edition from Interest.co.nz.</p><p>Today we lead with news China's funk is getting deeper.</p><p>But first, we can report that <a href="https://www.iata.org/en/iata-repository/publications/economic-reports/air-freight-monthly-analysis---july-2021/" target="_blank"><strong>international airfreight volumes</strong></a> are strong, with the July levels +8.9% higher than the July 2019 levels. (We are ignoring the distorted July 2020 base.) The strongest market is North America (up +21%) and the weakest is Asia/Pacific (up just +4.4%).</p><p>But in the US itself, consumer sentiment is sagging somewhat. The widely-watched <a href="https://conference-board.org/data/consumerconfidence.cfm" target="_blank"><strong>Conference Board survey</strong></a> reports a dampening to a six month low in August. The retreat is being attributed to growing fears of the delta pandemic, and the bite of rising inflation.</p><p>The August <a href="https://s3.amazonaws.com/images.chaptermanager.com/chapters/b742ccc3-ff70-8eca-4cf5-ab93a6c8ab97/files/mni-chicago-press-release-2021-08.pdf" target="_blank"><strong>Chicago PMI</strong></a> also reports a pull-back, although not a major one and it is still expanding at an above-average clip in the industrial Mid-West heartland.</p><p>In Canada, their <a href="https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/210831/dq210831a-eng.htm?HPA=1" target="_blank"><strong>economy unexpectedly shrank</strong></a> -0.3% from the prior quarter in Q2 2021, ending three straight quarters of expansion. This was mostly due to a decline in housing market activity and exports. They are in an election campaign there, so this news won't help the Trudeau government.</p><p>In China, the <a href="http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/zxfb/202108/t20210831_1821440.html" target="_blank"><strong>official factory PMI</strong></a> shows their expansion has

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