America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

<p>Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s <a href="https://www.economist.com/mid-terms-2022" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">midterm elections</a>, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in <a href="https://www.economist.com/asia/2022/08/11/the-nuclear-arsenals-of-china-india-and-pakistan-are-growing" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Asia</a>—yet. And Egypt wants the <a href="https://www.economist.com/britain/2022/09/01/egyptians-want-britain-to-return-the-rosetta-stone" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Rosetta Stone</a> back, but it’s not that simple.</p><p>For full access to print, digital and audio editions of <em>The Economist</em>, subscribe here <a href="http://www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer</a></p><br /><hr><p style='color:grey; font-size:0.75em;'> Hosted on Acast. See <a style='color:grey;' target='_blank' rel='noopener noreferrer' href='https://acast.com/privacy'>acast.com/privacy</a> for more information.</p>