715: Make Better Decisions with Data, with Dr. Allen Downey

<p>Join us as Dr. Allen Downey, renowned author and professor, shares insights from his upcoming book &apos;Probably Overthinking It,&apos; breaking down underused techniques like Survival Analysis, explaining common paradoxes, and discussing the dynamic Overton Window.<br/><br/>This episode is brought to you by the <a href='https://www.zerve.ai/'>Zerve</a> data science dev environment, by  <a href='https://modelbit.com/'>Modelbit</a>, for deploying models in seconds, and by <a href='https://grafbase.com/'>Grafbase</a>, the unified data layer. Interested in sponsoring a SuperDataScience Podcast episode? Visit <a href='https://gate.sc/?url=http%3A%2F%2FJonKrohn.com%2Fpodcast&amp;token=2f7e28-1-1695111128289'>JonKrohn.com/podcast</a> for sponsorship information.<br/><br/>In this episode you will learn:<br/>• Why interpreting data is not always easy [06:21]<br/>• What is Survival Analysis [15:32]<br/>• Preston&apos;s Paradox [22:09]<br/>• Are you Normal? [36:52]<br/>• How to better prepare for rare “Black Swan” events [42:48]<br/>• What is an Overton Window? [53:06]<br/>• What is the base rate fallacy? [1:23:31]<br/>• How to protect yourself from biased samples [1:33:39]<br/>• Simpson’s Paradox [1:42:43]<br/><br/>Additional materials: <a href='https://www.superdatascience.com/715'>www.superdatascience.com/715</a></p>