20: Samo Burja - Founders, Markets, & Collapse

<p>Samo Burja is the founder of Bismarck Analysis and a Research Fellow at the Long Now Foundation. Samo writes and speaks about history, institutions, and strategy, and he is the creator of the Great Founder Theory of history.</p> <p><br></p> <p>Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/q_X13jNOQTk</p> <p><br></p> <p>Samo's Twitter: https://twitter.com/SamoBurja</p> <p>Subscribe to Bismarck Brief: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/</p> <p><br></p> <p>My twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp</p> <p>My blog: https://dwarkeshpatel.com/</p> <p><br></p> <p>Timestamps:</p> <p>0:00:00 Intro</p> <p>0:00:17 Are individuals causally responsible for history?</p> <p>0:04:34 Was Napoleon a great founder?</p> <p>0:08:47 What can great founder theory predict?</p> <p>0:11:17 How many live players are there?</p> <p>0:15:40 Is the market full of live players?</p> <p>0:18:37 How to cozy up to both sides?</p> <p>0:22:58 How do you become an intellectual?</p> <p>0:27:34 Aligning incentives for intellectuals</p> <p>0:30:40 What makes someone a great founder?</p> <p>0:39:29 Why is the centralized internet inevitable?</p> <p>0:42:21 Samo and I debate odds of civilizational collapse</p> <p>0:48:17 Is GDP fake?</p> <p>0:56:52 The world only has 1.5 civilizations</p> <p>0:59:32 Advice to effective altruists</p> <p>1:02:30 Advice to young people</p>