#11 Exponential trend percentiles on gold price

<p>Check out show sponsor Coinkite: https://coinkite.com/</p> <p>Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/</p> <p><br></p> <p>This is the eleventh video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast.</p> <p><br></p> <p>Contents</p> <p>00:00 Intro</p> <p>01:30 Gold fits exponential trendline (75% R-squared)</p> <p>02:20 'Brown's Bottom'</p> <p>04:15 Exponential regression trendline</p> <p>05:30 Standard deviation basics</p> <p>06:34 Exponential regression trendline</p> <p>07:50 One sigma around trendline (66th percentile)</p> <p>13:10 Two sigma around trendline (95th percentile)</p> <p>15:30 Log scale</p> <p>24:41 Gold price suppression?</p> <p>26:31 Compound annual growth rate of gold price (7.7%)</p> <p><br></p> <p>Here we run and explain an exponential trendline over the last 50+ years of gold price data, and run percentile bands (standard deviations) around the regression.</p> <p><br></p> <p>Coefficients:</p> <p>y = a * EXP (b * x)</p> <p>y = y-intercept * EXP (slope * x)</p> <p>y = 133 * EXP (0.41% * x)</p> <p><br></p> <p>https://porkopolis.io</p> <p>https://twitter.com/crypto_voices</p> <p><br></p> <p>Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.</p>