054: Inception Series | The Overconfidence Effect

<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Today’s study investigates how overconfidence impacts our perception. Researchers conduct five different experiments among undergraduate students to examine the relationship between confidence and accuracy. The findings reveal that we often overestimate our ability to make predictions and that there is no relationship between confidence and accuracy. Listen in to learn how we can write to our avatars when they are overconfident and when they are accurate.</span></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>What To Look For In This Episode:</strong></p> <ul> <li style="font-weight: 400;" aria-level="1"><span style= "font-weight: 400;">How to write to an overconfident avatar.</span></li> <li style="font-weight: 400;" aria-level="1"><span style= "font-weight: 400;">Why it’s important to write to two avatars: the overconfident, and the more accurate avatar.</span></li> <li style="font-weight: 400;" aria-level="1"><span style= "font-weight: 400;">Why you should be confident, but stay realistic. </span></li> </ul> <p> </p> <p><strong>Journal Article:</strong></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The overconfidence effect in social prediction.</span></p> <p><a href= "https://www.researchgate.net/publication/20808447_The_Overconfidence_Effect_in_Social_Prediction"> <span style= "font-weight: 400;">https://www.researchgate.net/publication/20808447_The_Overconfidence_Effect_in_Social_Prediction</span></a></p> <p> </p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Dunning, D., Griffin, D. W., Milojkovic, J. D., & Ross, L. (1990). The overconfidence effect in social prediction.</span> <em><span style= "font-weight: 400;">Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 58(</span></em><span style="font-weight: 400;">4), 568–581.</span> <a href="https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.58.4.568"><span style= "font-weight: 400;">https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.58.4.568</span></a></p> <p><strong>Resources:</strong></p> <p> </p> <ul> <li aria-level="1"><strong>Sign-up for the Inception Training Webinar and download the Inception ser